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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">vestifm</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Известия Национальной академии наук Беларуси. Серия физико-математических наук</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of Belarus. Physics and Mathematics Series</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1561-2430</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2524-2415</issn><publisher><publisher-name>The Republican Unitary Enterprise Publishing House "Belaruskaya Navuka"</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.29235/1561-2430-2018-54-4-427-433</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">vestifm-349</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>МАТЕМАТИКА</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>MATHEMATICS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Статистическое определение тренда ближайшего типа для реализаций нестационарных временных рядов</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Statistical determination of the nearest type trend for realizations of non-stationary time series</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Жук</surname><given-names>Е. Е.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Zhuk</surname><given-names>E. E.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>доктор физико-математических наук, профессор кафедры математического моделирования и анализа данных факультета прикладной математики и информатики</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>D. Sc. (Physics and Mathematics), Professor, Professor of the Department of Mathematical Modeling and Data Analysis, Faculty of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">zhukee@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Белорусский государственный университет, Минск</institution></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Belarusian State University</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2018</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>09</day><month>01</month><year>2019</year></pub-date><volume>54</volume><issue>4</issue><fpage>427</fpage><lpage>433</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Жук Е.Е., 2019</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2019</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Жук Е.Е.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Zhuk E.E.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://vestifm.belnauka.by/jour/article/view/349">https://vestifm.belnauka.by/jour/article/view/349</self-uri><abstract><p>.</p></abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>нестационарный временной ряд</kwd><kwd>трендовая модель</kwd><kwd>реализация</kwd><kwd>решающее правило</kwd><kwd>риск</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>non-stationary time series</kwd><kwd>trend model</kwd><kwd>realization</kwd><kwd>decision rule</kwd><kwd>risk</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Жук, Е. 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Wiley, 1993. 289 p.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit5"><label>5</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Боровков, А. А. Теория вероятностей / А. А. Боровков. – М.: URSS: Либроком, 2016. – 652 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Borovkov A. A. Probability Theory. Moscow, URSS: Librokom Publ., 2016. 652 p. (in Russian).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref></ref-list><fn-group><fn fn-type="conflict"><p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p></fn></fn-group></back></article>
